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Will Deutsche Bank (DB) Slide Further Post Q1 Earnings?

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Deutsche Bank AG (DB - Free Report) is scheduled to report first-quarter 2017 results on Apr 27.

In the last quarter, the German banking giant reported net loss, impacted by higher provisions. Results included litigation charges associated with the Department of Justice (DoJ) residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) settlement tied with the issuance and underwriting of allied securitization activities during 2005–2007.

Earlier this April, Deutsche Bank successfully completed the issuance of new shares worth €8 billion ($8.6 billion) at €11.65 per share. The offering recorded 98.9% of 687.5 million new shares subscription from the investors, including applications from various institutional investors. Notably, the capital raise increased Deutsche Bank's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio to 14.1% and leverage ratio to 4.1% as of Dec 31, 2016, fully loaded.

Notably, for the three-month period ended Mar 31, 2017, Deutsche Bank lost more than 5% on the NYSE, reflecting investors' concern amid a challenging operating environment, with low, sometimes even negative rate scenario and global economic slowdown.  

Will the upcoming earnings release put further pressure on Deutsche Bank stock? It depends largely on whether the company is able to report profitability this earnings season. Let's see what factors might have influenced the earnings report this time around.

Factors to Influence Q1 Results

Profitability of Deutsche bank should continue to suffer amid negative interest rates, sluggish growth of the European economy and global headwinds. However, the recent capital raising initiative will enable the bank to meet regulatory requirements, enhance its competitiveness, as well as aid in meeting investment targets across core businesses.

Further, the bank’s revenue challenges should ease to some extent as it is expediting on a series of additional actions and new financial targets following the capital raise.

During the first quarter, trading environment was decent as global financial markets experienced volatility due to several factors. The bank’s trading revenues are likely to improve primarily, driven by higher fixed-income trading. Moreover, trading in equities is likely to report upsurge due to increased client activities.

Further, revenues from advisory and underwriting are estimated to witness significant improvement, as increase in M&A activities, along with equity and debt underwriting, is foreseen.

Though Deutsche Bank remains focused on expense management, it has been embroiled in several lawsuits and investigations. As a result, some additional reserves for litigation expenses might have been sidelined, which could hurt the bottom line to some extent. Also, the quarterly results are anticipated to display the impact of several ongoing restructuring measures. Restructuring and severance charges, as such, should remain high.

Currently, Deutsche Bank currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Among other foreign banks, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. , Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. (ITUB - Free Report) and The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc are scheduled to report results on May 15, May 3 and Apr 28, respectively.

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